The NDA is likely to win 229 seats in the Lok Sabha elections, putting it within striking distance of power, an opinion poll done for a TV channel has predicted. With the poll also projecting 195 seats for the BJP on its own, the best tally ever for the party, the indication are that a Narendra Modi-led government could be formed.
The UPA, on the other hand, is likely to suffer huge losses, ending up with just 129 seats with the Congress getting 106 of those, 100 less than it did in 2009. That’s the prediction of the NDTV poll conducted by Hansa Research released on Friday. The findings are in line with the predictions of other polls so far.
In the crucial state of Uttar Pradesh, the NDTV poll predicted that the BJP would win 40 of the 80 seats, leaving BSP, SP and the Congress-RLD combine splitting the remaining 40 seats more or less equally. The BSP was projected to win 15, SP 13 and the UPA 12.
In Andhra Pradesh, the poll made separate predictions for Seemandhra and Telangana. In Seemandhra, it estimates that the Congress will get completely routed, winning just one seat against the 21 it won in 2009. The major beneficiary would be the YSR Congress of Jagan Reddy, which is estimated to win 15 seats. The TDP-BJP combine, the poll suggested, would win nine seats.
In Telangana, the TRS would be major gainer, picking up 11 seats, while the Congress tally would come down from 12 in 2009 to just five this time. In short, the Congress seems to be paying the price for the division of the state in both parts of it, if the poll is right.
In Orissa and Kerala too, the Congress is predicted to win fewer seats than last time, with the gainer in Orissa being mainly the BJD and in Kerala the Left.
Two states which will buck this anti-Congress trend, the poll predicted, would be Punjab and Assam. In Assam, the poll predicts that a Congress-AUDF alliance will win 13 of the state’s 14 seats, while the BJP and AGP will both be left with a blank slate. In Punjab, the 2014 tally could be a repeat of the one five years ago, if the poll is right.